German Weekend

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Sorry for being late:

Just one play for friday (starts in 1 hour)

Regionalliga North:

Düsseldorf- Kiel: Düsseldorf to win @ 1.95

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Weekend started with a loss yesterday.

Saturday:

1. Bundesliga:

Leverkusen- Kaiserslautern: Leverkusen -0.5,-1 @ 1.93

Leverkusen is one of the strongest home teams in the league. In order to keep pace with the top teams in fight for CL-spot they have to keep winning their home games, which should be possible against a Kaiserslautern team, which also gets it's points usually at home and is not a thread at all in away games.

Hannover- Gladbach: Under 2.5 goals @1.935 !! 2 units!!

Strongest play of the day. 2 very low scoring teams. Hannover is struggeling right now at home and away, so i dont see them blowing out gladbach. Gladbach is one of the weakest away teams in the league, esoecially when it come to scoring goals. They will definitely play for a draw here (defense first), and i doubt that hannover has the ability to score enough against a solid defense to get the total over.

Nürnberg- Bremen: Bremen -0.5 @ 1.909 and OVER 3 goals @ 1.962

Nürnberg is winless in last 6 homegames and the last 5 were flying over the total. They are struggeling big time right now on defense, but always have the capability to score. Bremen has to win here. they are the much better team and the shock defeat against lyon should be out of their minds now. They are high scoring on both end also with 5 of last 6 away games going over.

München- Rostock: Rostock +1.5,+2 @ 2.01

That's a risky play, as everything points to a home win here. i simply like the chances of rostock to stay within 2 goals. They are coming of two straight wins and have regained some kind of hope to survive in league. They can play fearless in München as nobody expects anything from then..overall they have the capability of being dangerous away. their away record is far better than their home rec.
München will look for a win. if they dont score early i expect them to secure a low scoring win here, whithout much extra efford (that's what the big teams often do against lower teams). Probably a 2-1 or 1-0 win.

A couple of notes for the other games that i dont play:

Hamburg- Dortmund: While hamburg is one of the hottest teams in league right now, they always struggle against Dortmunf at home. Their is usually strong fan support for dortmund at this game even playing at hamburg. Dortmund played solid in last away games..probably a draw.

Berlin- Bielefeld: Probably a home win, but to lay -1 with berlin is no value as they are very low scoring..bielefeld usually solid on defense.

Bochum- Wolfsburg: Two desperate teams here..both struggeling big time..it'S a coin flip, so the line at pk is right.

Regionalliga Nord:

Bielefeld (A)- Osnabrück: Osnabrück to win @1.91 !! 2 units!!

Osnabrück is one of the top teams in league and very strong away, while Bielefeld is one of the bottom clubs, which i s struggeling right now and will probably be relegated. Also distance between osnabrück and Bielfeld is not too far, so i expect plenty of Osnabrück fans following their team. i am thing to make it a 2- unit play.

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After yesterday's winners, rec now for season:

(pushes recorded as no bet):

1.Bundesliga 77-60 +13.290 units
2.Bundesliga 35-29 +1.897 units
Regionalliga 25-32 -6.512 units

Total 137-121 +8.675 units<!-- / message -->


Sunday

1. Bundesliga:

Mainz - Schalke: Schalke -0.5 @ 1.877

After struggeling the last two months Mainz got enough breating space with 4 points out of last 3 games against the relegation. So i dont expect them to go for everything. Schalke meanwhile comes off the great win over münchen last week and has to get the points today to retain their advantage on the top over München. Go with the clearly better team, Schalke got also no problems with away games, so a good spot for them here today.

2. Bundesliga:

Köln- Essen: Köln -0.5 @ 1.40 !! 2 units!!

Köln is coming off a disapponting last minute loss on wednesday, but after league leader'S Duisburg draw on friday they can regain the lead with a win today over lowly Essen. Köln is undefeated at home and should be able to get the win over Essen which is playing better lately, but still got problems against the top teams.

Karlsruhe- München: München pk,-0.5 @ 2.08

I am riding the hottest team in league here. out of nothing they are suddenly in the race for promotion with 6 wins out of last 7 games. Karlsruhe is still struggeling against relegation. Go with the much hotter and better team here.

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